Severe Weather Update

For much of the morning, we have been under a thick, high cloud deck, which has limited our heating to this point. This is good in a way, as it delays the initiation of thunderstorms until later this afternoon. This could keep the largest threat for severe weather out of those areas well west of the city. However, it's bad as we could get thunderstorm initiation at the peak heating of the day. Dew points are now reaching toward the 70 degree mark, and there will be a ton of instability in the air once the sun heats things up. There will be thunderstorms, and likely some severe weather, so keep in-tuned to local media and NOAA Weather Radio for updates.

I just took a look at the new convective outlook from the Storm Prediction Center and found that they have raised areas east of I-35 to a moderate risk for severe thunderstorms. Large hail being the primary threat. There is also a larger threat for tornadoes as well compared to how things looked last night. However, due to the delay in thunderstorm initiation, the GREATEST threat for tornadoes is likely east of the city. I still can not rule out strong and damaging straight-line winds as well.

I'll try to keep on top of things and may do another post when and if we see a severe weather watch issued by the Storm Prediction Center.